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The Guardian is now admitting that the West’s war against Russia through its proxy, Ukraine, is not going very well. Note the headline in today’s article:
Russia is winning the economic war - and Putin is no closer to withdrawing troops
“The perverse effects of sanctions means rising fuel and food costs for the rest of the world—and fears are growing of a humanitarian catastrophe. Sooner or later, a deal must be made.
“It is now three months since the west launched its economic war against Russia, and it is not going according to plan. On the contrary, things are going very badly indeed…
“There is, though, no immediate sign of Russia pulling out of Ukraine and that’s hardly surprising, because the sanctions have had the perverse effect of driving up the cost of Russia’s oil and gas exports, massively boosting its trade balance and financing its war effort. In the fist four months of 2022, Putin could boast a current surplus of $96bn (£76bn)—more than treble the figure for the same period in 2021.
“When the EU announced its partial ban on Russian oil exports earlier this week, the cost of crude oil on the global markets rose, providing the Kremlin with another financial windfall. Russia finding no difficulty finding alternative markets for its energy, with exports of oil and gas to China in April up more than 50% year on year.”
The article ends this way:
“The atrocities committed by Russian troops means compromising with the Kremlin is currently hard to swallow, but economic reality suggests only one thing: sooner or later a deal will be struck.”
These so-called “atrocities” are from the propaganda department in Kiev, which it spreads as part of the war effort. As we all know, truth is the first casualty of war. If you want to see what is actually happening on the ground, I suggest watching Patrick Lancaster, who, as a genuine journalist, interviews real people in the war zone itself.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VG0OksTiAI
The Guardian article appears to be laying the groundwork for a face-saving “deal,” where the West will claim that they were “forced to make a deal” to avoid more “atrocities,” thus saving hundreds of thousands of lives. The West, as we are led to believe, is extremely concerned with saving lives.
Nonetheless, the article makes it clear that the war effort against Russia is failing. Economic sanctions have had a reverse effect—as if Russia had sanctioned the West. The war effort in Ukraine, by western accounts, has been a smashing success, but now it seems, things are not going nearly as well as they have claimed. Energy shortages on top of the money-printing machine at the Fed have brought high inflation and economic recession to the USA and Europe.
The west still hopes that the Ukrainian army can grab a bit more land before negotiating for peace, so that they can negotiate from a position of slightly more strength. But this is not working, as Russia continues to grind them down in their war of attrition. Every day Ukraine loses more territory and loses more men. In the Donbass, one Ukrainian commander was interviewed by the BBC, saying that it is so bad they have stopped counting casualties!
Yet after months of propaganda reports about pushing back the Russians, the government-sponsored media is now in danger of losing what is left of its credibility. In general, those who sue for peace are those who are losing the war. To sue for peace is an admission that one has lost. Thus, it is awkward to sue for peace when they have led the public to believe that they are winning the war. They are victims of their own propaganda, and to sue for peace only puts egg on their face.
Looking back, Ukraine should have disavowed joining NATO. The West should not have implemented the coup in Kiev back in February 2014. Ukraine should not have persecuted its Russian population, which resulted in the breakaway territories. Ukraine should not have broken the last three negotiated settlements (Minsk 1 on September 14, 2014 and Minsk 2 on February 12, 2015, and the Istanbul agreement on March 29, 2022).
Each time Ukraine ignored its agreement, thinking the West would come to its aid, but things only got worse for Ukraine. Now Russia knows it can no longer trust anything that the Ukrainians promise. The result is that Russia will annex whatever territory it gains in this war, and will force Ukraine to recognize their loss. Russia will also make sure that any remaining government in Ukraine will never join NATO.
The real question is when the West will finally end its war on Russia and permit Ukraine to negotiate a deal that will allow it to keep at least some of its former territory. Poland will probably grab territory from northwest Ukraine. Romania and Hungary will probably take Ukrainian territory in the southwest. For all of this the Ukrainian government has the West to thank for its casualties of war and for the partitioning of the country itself. The western media will continue to blame Putin, of course, but for those of us who remember how this all started, we will have a less propagandized version of history.